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Red145
35972.2
441943.8
441559.8
Blue126
427641.7
183626.7
473867.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15011350100200250145126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#6
72.21.9
68.766.7
Auto12.5
Teleop59.8
End-1.5
red by 4.6
4738
#12
67.51.1
64.363.2
Auto11.2
Teleop57.1
End-2.2
Second
4415
#16
59.81.9
53.251.2
Auto13.2
Teleop45.3
End0.6
red by 18.1
4276
#25
41.71.1
40.739.6
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End-0.3
Third
4419
#28
43.81.9
52.950.9
Auto8.3
Teleop35.0
End-0.1
red by 17.1
1836
#35
26.71.1
31.230.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned