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Red161
427641.7
283943.4
325554.3
Blue153
210233.9
473867.5
347340.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117101050150200161153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#11
54.31.1
57.558.6
Auto10.3
Teleop44.0
End-0.3
blue by 13.2
4738
#12
67.51.5
63.264.7
Auto11.2
Teleop57.1
End-2.2
Second
43.41.1
41.943.0
Auto8.3
Teleop34.3
End0.9
red by 2.8
3473
#13
40.61.5
38.640.1
Auto7.0
Teleop33.3
End-0.0
Third
4276
#25
41.71.1
39.640.7
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End-0.3
red by 7.8
2102
#23
33.91.5
29.430.9
Auto6.6
Teleop28.8
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed