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Red146
432242.4
29462.6
927121.0
Blue109
364751.8
407934.2
395226.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9882050150200146109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#2
62.61.9
59.060.9
Auto11.0
Teleop49.4
End0.9
red by 10.7
3647
#20
51.80.3
53.653.9
Auto13.9
Teleop39.0
End-1.5
Second
4322
#21
42.41.9
38.940.8
Auto7.3
Teleop34.9
End0.1
red by 8.2
4079
#29
34.20.3
26.226.5
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End1.3
Third
9271
#38
21.01.9
19.821.7
Auto2.4
Teleop18.8
End0.3
blue by 5.6
3952
#39
26.50.3
25.325.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned