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Red113
432242.4
441559.8
607220.8
Blue162
888829.1
69655.8
271042.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949390100110120130150113162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#16
59.80.5
54.954.4
Auto13.2
Teleop45.3
End0.6
red by 4.0
696
#7
55.82.4
49.451.8
Auto9.2
Teleop50.0
End-3.3
Second
4322
#21
42.40.5
42.041.5
Auto7.3
Teleop34.9
End0.1
blue by 0.5
2710
#14
42.92.4
39.341.7
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End-0.4
Third
6072
#33
20.80.5
18.918.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.5
End-0.2
blue by 8.3
8888
#36
29.12.4
27.329.7
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned