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Red119
96838.1
744728.5
656050.6
Blue145
49841.2
427641.7
59743.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95107050150200119145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#26
50.60.6
51.851.2
Auto10.1
Teleop41.0
End-1.2
red by 7.2
597
#18
43.40.5
45.746.2
Auto7.2
Teleop36.7
End-0.4
Second
968
#34
38.10.6
37.436.8
Auto4.7
Teleop33.5
End0.2
blue by 3.7
4276
#25
41.70.5
40.040.6
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End-0.3
Third
7447
#37
28.50.6
29.428.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End3.1
blue by 12.8
498
#22
41.20.5
37.838.3
Auto7.9
Teleop32.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned