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Red158
715768.2
98756.5
116031.6
Blue153
519972.2
29462.6
210233.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133136100110120140150160170158153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.20.4
63.963.5
Auto11.6
Teleop56.9
End-1.6
blue by 4.0
72.20.6
73.372.7
Auto10.1
Teleop62.6
End-1.7
Second
987
#17
56.50.4
59.358.9
Auto12.8
Teleop40.8
End1.9
blue by 6.1
294
#2
62.60.6
60.860.2
Auto11.0
Teleop49.4
End0.9
Third
1160
#32
31.60.4
31.431.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.5
End3.8
blue by 2.3
2102
#23
33.90.6
32.932.3
Auto6.6
Teleop28.8
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned