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Red111
283943.4
473867.5
265819.4
Blue96
622021.6
330917.8
420152.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027820406012014016011196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#12
67.51.0
64.763.7
Auto11.2
Teleop57.1
End-2.2
red by 15.1
52.40.7
54.453.7
Auto7.9
Teleop44.0
End0.1
Second
43.41.0
42.141.1
Auto8.3
Teleop34.3
End0.9
red by 21.8
6220
#31
21.60.7
21.120.4
Auto3.4
Teleop17.4
End0.9
Third
2658
#30
19.41.0
18.917.9
Auto2.4
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
red by 1.6
3309
#42
17.80.7
20.720.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsEarned