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Red104
441943.8
450129.9
414128.0
Blue153
940861.3
927121.0
347340.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9192100110120140104153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#28
43.80.4
47.346.9
Auto8.3
Teleop35.0
End-0.1
blue by 17.5
61.31.7
59.961.6
Auto8.4
Teleop54.0
End-1.9
Second
4501
#40
29.90.4
30.930.5
Auto8.0
Teleop18.4
End3.6
blue by 10.6
3473
#13
40.61.7
37.439.1
Auto7.0
Teleop33.3
End-0.0
Third
4141
#41
28.00.4
26.826.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.8
End2.3
red by 7.0
9271
#38
21.01.7
20.221.9
Auto2.4
Teleop18.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned