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Red204
39938.6
407934.2
347671.5
Blue150
395226.5
325554.3
35972.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108128050150200250300204150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#10
71.52.4
70.172.5
Auto12.5
Teleop58.2
End-1.3
blue by 0.7
359
#6
72.20.2
67.667.8
Auto12.5
Teleop59.8
End-1.5
Second
399
#27
38.62.4
37.139.6
Auto10.4
Teleop26.1
End2.5
blue by 15.7
3255
#11
54.30.2
54.754.9
Auto10.3
Teleop44.0
End-0.3
Third
4079
#29
34.22.4
25.527.9
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End1.3
red by 7.7
3952
#39
26.50.2
24.825.0
Auto8.3
Teleop17.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned