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Red144
715768.2
656050.6
888829.1
Blue103
441943.8
364751.8
330917.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199950150144103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.20.6
63.562.9
Auto11.6
Teleop56.9
End-1.6
red by 16.4
3647
#20
51.82.2
53.951.7
Auto13.9
Teleop39.0
End-1.5
Second
6560
#26
50.60.6
51.250.6
Auto10.1
Teleop41.0
End-1.2
red by 6.8
4419
#28
43.82.2
46.944.7
Auto8.3
Teleop35.0
End-0.1
Third
8888
#36
29.10.6
29.729.1
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End4.0
red by 11.3
3309
#42
17.82.2
20.017.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsMissed