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Red188
35972.2
427641.7
715768.2
Blue203
473867.5
312850.6
212250.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812950100150200188203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#6
72.20.3
66.867.2
Auto12.5
Teleop59.8
End-1.5
red by 4.6
4738
#12
67.50.8
64.365.1
Auto11.2
Teleop57.1
End-2.2
Second
68.20.3
62.963.2
Auto11.6
Teleop56.9
End-1.6
red by 17.6
3128
#19
50.60.8
47.448.2
Auto7.7
Teleop44.7
End-2.0
Third
4276
#25
41.70.3
41.441.7
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End-0.3
blue by 8.6
2122
#15
50.30.8
47.047.8
Auto7.8
Teleop38.2
End3.8