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Red193
212250.3
312850.6
473867.5
Blue143
940861.3
441943.8
519972.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321440100200300400500193143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#12
67.50.8
65.366.1
Auto11.2
Teleop57.1
End-2.2
blue by 4.7
72.20.8
73.873.0
Auto10.1
Teleop62.6
End-1.7
Second
3128
#19
50.60.8
48.449.2
Auto7.7
Teleop44.7
End-2.0
blue by 10.7
61.30.8
62.862.0
Auto8.4
Teleop54.0
End-1.9
Third
2122
#15
50.30.8
48.148.9
Auto7.8
Teleop38.2
End3.8
red by 6.5
4419
#28
43.80.8
44.643.8
Auto8.3
Teleop35.0
End-0.1