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Red159
29462.6
271042.9
347671.5
Blue189
715768.2
407934.2
35972.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512750100200250159189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#10
71.50.6
72.171.5
Auto12.5
Teleop58.2
End-1.3
blue by 0.7
359
#6
72.20.2
68.368.5
Auto12.5
Teleop59.8
End-1.5
Second
294
#2
62.60.6
63.262.6
Auto11.0
Teleop49.4
End0.9
blue by 5.6
68.20.2
64.464.5
Auto11.6
Teleop56.9
End-1.6
Third
2710
#14
42.90.6
43.542.9
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End-0.4
red by 8.7
4079
#29
34.20.2
30.430.6
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End1.3