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Red214
69655.8
49841.2
441559.8
Blue132
432242.4
364751.8
283943.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110950100150200214132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#16
59.81.2
58.259.4
Auto13.2
Teleop45.3
End0.6
red by 7.9
3647
#20
51.80.1
52.051.8
Auto13.9
Teleop39.0
End-1.5
Second
696
#7
55.81.2
54.255.4
Auto9.2
Teleop50.0
End-3.3
red by 12.4
43.40.1
43.543.4
Auto8.3
Teleop34.3
End0.9
Third
498
#22
41.21.2
39.740.8
Auto7.9
Teleop32.0
End1.6
blue by 1.2
4322
#21
42.40.1
42.642.4
Auto7.3
Teleop34.9
End0.1