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Red172
29462.6
271042.9
347671.5
Blue173
940861.3
441943.8
519972.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143143135140145150155160165172173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#10
71.50.0
72.172.1
Auto12.5
Teleop58.2
End-1.3
blue by 0.7
72.20.0
73.873.8
Auto10.1
Teleop62.6
End-1.7
Second
294
#2
62.60.0
63.263.2
Auto11.0
Teleop49.4
End0.9
red by 1.3
61.30.0
62.962.8
Auto8.4
Teleop54.0
End-1.9
Third
2710
#14
42.90.0
43.543.5
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End-0.4
blue by 0.9
4419
#28
43.80.0
44.644.6
Auto8.3
Teleop35.0
End-0.1