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Red175
519972.2
441943.8
940861.3
Blue142
325554.3
210233.9
699555.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811350100200175142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.20.1
73.973.8
Auto10.1
Teleop62.6
End-1.7
red by 16.7
55.60.0
55.355.3
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.2
Second
61.30.1
63.062.9
Auto8.4
Teleop54.0
End-1.9
red by 6.9
3255
#11
54.30.0
54.354.3
Auto10.3
Teleop44.0
End-0.3
Third
4419
#28
43.80.1
44.744.6
Auto8.3
Teleop35.0
End-0.1
red by 9.9
2102
#23
33.90.0
33.733.6
Auto6.6
Teleop28.8
End-1.4