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Red220
35972.2
407934.2
715768.2
Blue123
420152.4
98756.5
59743.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132128100120140160180200220220123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#6
72.21.1
67.268.3
Auto12.5
Teleop59.8
End-1.5
red by 15.7
987
#17
56.50.7
57.256.5
Auto12.8
Teleop40.8
End1.9
Second
68.21.1
63.264.4
Auto11.6
Teleop56.9
End-1.6
red by 15.8
52.40.7
53.152.4
Auto7.9
Teleop44.0
End0.1
Third
4079
#29
34.21.1
29.330.4
Auto5.7
Teleop27.7
End1.3
blue by 9.1
597
#18
43.40.7
44.143.4
Auto7.2
Teleop36.7
End-0.4