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Red147
283943.4
364751.8
432242.4
Blue130
414128.0
210233.9
699555.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11690050150200147130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#20
51.80.1
52.052.0
Auto13.9
Teleop39.0
End-1.5
blue by 3.7
55.60.3
55.355.6
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.2
Second
43.40.1
43.643.5
Auto8.3
Teleop34.3
End0.9
red by 9.5
2102
#23
33.90.3
33.633.9
Auto6.6
Teleop28.8
End-1.4
Third
4322
#21
42.40.1
42.642.6
Auto7.3
Teleop34.9
End0.1
red by 14.4
4141
#41
28.00.3
27.728.0
Auto6.0
Teleop19.8
End2.3