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Red82
741923.1
142542.4
605921.7
Blue72
691819.4
831.9
7419B22.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767865707580858272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.1
36.436.5
Auto10.5
Teleop30.2
End1.8
red by 10.5
8
#36
31.91.5
42.741.2
Auto5.0
Teleop26.7
End0.0
Second
7419
#24
23.10.1
27.327.4
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.0
red by 0.7
22.32.5
17.515.0
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End-1.2
Third
6059
#31
21.70.1
16.716.8
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End-0.9
red by 2.3
6918
#25
19.41.5
24.222.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsMissed