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Red47
25311.9
359818.2
415928.6
Blue86
264318.7
196734.7
545829.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6087020401001201401604786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#27
28.62.1
30.128.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.5
End1.3
blue by 6.1
1967
#17
34.71.5
39.738.2
Auto8.5
Teleop27.2
End-0.6
Second
3598
#40
18.22.1
22.520.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End0.7
blue by 11.4
5458
#42
29.61.5
37.135.6
Auto4.6
Teleop22.7
End2.4
Third
253
#32
11.92.1
15.313.3
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End-1.3
blue by 6.8
2643
#41
18.71.5
21.920.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsMissed