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Red158
167884.3
107234.1
581741.8
Blue75
415928.6
5940B35.6
592434.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1399305020025015875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.30.3
84.284.5
Auto13.2
Teleop68.5
End-1.1
red by 48.6
35.69.9
40.931.0
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End-1.1
Second
41.80.3
35.335.6
Auto6.8
Teleop32.8
End2.4
red by 7.6
5924
#16
34.11.6
33.231.6
Auto8.3
Teleop23.8
End2.4
Third
34.10.3
34.034.3
Auto6.9
Teleop28.0
End-0.4
red by 5.5
4159
#27
28.61.6
31.630.1
Auto5.0
Teleop22.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned