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Red73
545829.6
741923.1
385928.8
Blue99
207351.0
318926.8
228824.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071110501502007399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#42
29.61.9
39.037.1
Auto4.6
Teleop22.7
End2.4
blue by 21.3
51.02.1
50.248.1
Auto10.3
Teleop38.9
End2.1
Second
3859
#37
28.81.9
32.830.9
Auto7.9
Teleop18.4
End2.6
red by 2.0
3189
#30
26.82.1
25.523.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.1
Third
7419
#24
23.11.9
29.127.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.0
blue by 1.0
2288
#34
24.12.1
27.825.7
Auto3.5
Teleop19.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsMissed