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Qual 42023 Capital City Classic
Red43
84124.9
527437.4
605921.7
Blue55
213528.6
413523.4
464313.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8180506070901001101204355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#13
37.42.7
37.5→34.9
Auto7.7
Teleop27.3
End2.8
red by 8.7
2135
#15
28.61.9
27.0→25.1
Auto6.8
Teleop19.5
End2.9
Second
841
#26
24.92.7
25.9→23.3
Auto1.9
Teleop24.1
End-0.8
red by 1.5
4135
#38
23.41.9
31.7→29.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End0.4
Third
6059
#31
21.72.7
19.4→16.7
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End-0.9
red by 7.8
4643
#35
13.92.3
19.4→17.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed