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Red125
581741.8
527437.4
385928.8
Blue87
801627.4
76637.2
605921.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976405015012587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.4
41.042.4
Auto6.8
Teleop32.8
End2.4
red by 4.6
766
#29
37.20.1
37.537.6
Auto5.5
Teleop32.5
End-0.7
Second
5274
#13
37.41.4
33.835.2
Auto7.7
Teleop27.3
End2.8
red by 10.0
8016
#45
27.40.1
27.727.8
Auto2.9
Teleop23.8
End1.0
Third
3859
#37
28.81.4
29.230.6
Auto7.9
Teleop18.4
End2.6
red by 7.1
6059
#31
21.70.1
19.719.8
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsEarned