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Red82
876829.2
415928.6
940021.4
Blue104
25311.9
7419B22.3
64951.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616530405070809010082104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8768
#44
29.20.3
33.834.1
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
blue by 22.1
649
#10
51.30.4
50.450.8
Auto9.3
Teleop39.8
End1.4
Second
4159
#27
28.60.3
25.626.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.5
End1.3
red by 6.2
22.30.7
18.519.2
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End-1.2
Third
9400
#23
21.40.3
17.718.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop24.6
End-2.5
red by 9.5
253
#32
11.90.4
13.514.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned