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Red105
413523.4
469837.9
581741.8
Blue51
713725.0
7419B22.3
325726.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10756015010551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.5
42.441.9
Auto6.8
Teleop32.8
End2.4
red by 15.5
3257
#39
26.31.6
29.327.6
Auto4.5
Teleop20.7
End1.1
Second
4698
#18
37.90.5
39.338.8
Auto6.4
Teleop28.9
End2.9
red by 12.9
7137
#21
25.01.6
27.025.4
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End2.5
Third
4135
#38
23.40.5
25.525.0
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End0.4
red by 1.1
22.32.7
19.216.5
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned