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Qual 402023 Capital City Classic
Red94
76637.2
264318.7
592434.1
Blue133
167159.4
213528.6
70118.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747002040608010012094133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#29
37.20.1
37.6→37.7
Auto5.5
Teleop32.5
End-0.7
blue by 22.2
1671
#3
59.42.6
51.4→54.0
Auto10.8
Teleop50.2
End-1.8
Second
5924
#16
34.10.1
32.7→32.8
Auto8.3
Teleop23.8
End2.4
red by 5.5
2135
#15
28.62.6
21.2→23.8
Auto6.8
Teleop19.5
End2.9
Third
2643
#41
18.70.1
21.9→22.1
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End-0.9
red by 0.5
701
#43
18.22.6
16.3→18.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned