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Red130
8016B17.0
145817.6
167159.4
Blue68
413523.4
741923.1
359818.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655320408010012013068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.41.5
54.055.6
Auto10.8
Teleop50.2
End-1.8
red by 36.0
4135
#38
23.40.8
23.923.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End0.4
Second
1458
#20
17.61.5
17.118.6
Auto1.3
Teleop14.8
End1.9
blue by 5.5
7419
#24
23.10.8
22.822.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.0
Third
17.02.6
13.816.3
Auto0.7
Teleop17.9
End-1.7
blue by 1.2
3598
#40
18.20.8
18.417.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed