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Red138
545829.6
605921.7
207351.0
Blue104
255144.9
592434.1
876829.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81100050150138104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.02.7
46.849.5
Auto10.3
Teleop38.9
End2.1
red by 6.1
2551
#19
44.90.4
45.445.0
Auto8.1
Teleop34.4
End2.0
Second
5458
#42
29.62.7
30.733.4
Auto4.6
Teleop22.7
End2.4
blue by 4.5
5924
#16
34.10.4
32.832.5
Auto8.3
Teleop23.8
End2.4
Third
6059
#31
21.72.7
19.622.3
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End-0.9
blue by 7.5
8768
#44
29.20.4
31.531.1
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned