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Red150
691819.4
167884.3
142542.4
Blue58
752814.3
464313.9
76637.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1283605010015020015058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.30.7
80.981.6
Auto13.2
Teleop68.5
End-1.1
red by 47.0
766
#29
37.20.5
36.736.2
Auto5.5
Teleop32.5
End-0.7
Second
42.40.7
40.341.0
Auto10.5
Teleop30.2
End1.8
red by 28.1
7528
#46
14.30.5
14.814.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.0
End1.4
Third
6918
#25
19.40.7
18.819.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End2.5
red by 5.5
4643
#35
13.90.5
14.413.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsMissed