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Red204
594067.6
167884.3
213528.6
Blue158
167159.4
876829.2
581741.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146100050200204158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.30.8
82.182.9
Auto13.2
Teleop68.5
End-1.1
red by 24.8
59.40.7
58.659.3
Auto10.8
Teleop50.2
End-1.8
Second
67.60.8
65.566.2
Auto12.4
Teleop53.9
End-1.3
red by 25.8
41.80.7
41.041.6
Auto6.8
Teleop32.8
End2.4
Third
2135
#15
28.60.8
26.527.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.5
End2.9
blue by 0.6
8768
#44
29.20.7
28.529.2
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7