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Red138
64951.3
592434.1
255144.9
Blue110
107234.1
348220.1
469837.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11665050100150138110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#10
51.30.1
50.850.9
Auto9.3
Teleop39.8
End1.4
red by 13.4
4698
#18
37.90.3
37.637.9
Auto6.4
Teleop28.9
End2.9
Second
2551
#19
44.90.1
44.544.5
Auto8.1
Teleop34.4
End2.0
red by 10.8
34.10.3
33.834.1
Auto6.9
Teleop28.0
End-0.4
Third
5924
#16
34.10.1
33.733.8
Auto8.3
Teleop23.8
End2.4
red by 14.1
3482
#11
20.10.3
19.820.1
Auto2.0
Teleop18.1
End0.1