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Red110
142542.4
385928.8
207351.0
Blue154
425559.4
5940B35.6
84654.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110104050150200250300110154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.3
51.351.0
Auto10.3
Teleop38.9
End2.1
blue by 8.4
59.40.4
57.357.7
Auto12.0
Teleop45.6
End-0.5
Second
42.40.3
42.742.4
Auto10.5
Teleop30.2
End1.8
blue by 11.8
846
#4
54.20.4
51.852.2
Auto9.8
Teleop46.1
End-2.3
Third
3859
#37
28.80.3
29.128.8
Auto7.9
Teleop18.4
End2.6
blue by 6.9
35.60.6
32.232.8
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End-1.1