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Qual 32023 CalGames
Red136
605919.4
186853.1
11540.1
Blue114
696233.5
107234.0
76640.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081046080120140136114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#5
53.11.8
51.3→49.5
Auto13.3
Teleop40.3
End-1.4
red by 13.1
766
#16
40.01.1
35.8→36.8
Auto6.4
Teleop33.4
End0.1
Second
115
#7
40.11.8
43.4→41.7
Auto5.4
Teleop35.9
End-1.3
red by 6.1
1072
#21
34.01.1
40.0→41.1
Auto7.2
Teleop25.4
End1.5
Third
6059
#23
19.42.0
21.7→19.7
Auto2.2
Teleop15.9
End1.5
blue by 14.1
6962
#3
33.51.4
22.3→23.7
Auto4.4
Teleop27.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed41%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned