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Qual 42023 CalGames
Red76
85220.9
940017.0
170039.2
Blue115
67046.3
803342.3
914326.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8013905010020025076115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#11
39.20.4
35.8→35.4
Auto6.0
Teleop33.3
End0.2
blue by 7.1
670
#8
46.32.2
44.0→41.8
Auto6.4
Teleop39.2
End0.6
Second
852
#36
20.90.4
29.5→29.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End2.4
blue by 21.4
8033
#13
42.32.2
52.5→50.3
Auto8.4
Teleop34.1
End-0.9
Third
9400
#19
17.05.4
21.4→16.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop19.3
End-1.7
blue by 9.2
9143
#18
26.32.2
34.5→32.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed66%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned