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Qual 52023 CalGames
Red70
502637.9
840430.9
490418.3
Blue61
325625.2
100B18.3
19915.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135650501001502002507061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#22
37.93.2
50.3→47.1
Auto9.6
Teleop26.5
End1.6
red by 12.7
3256
#15
25.21.2
25.9→24.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
8404
#28
30.93.2
43.2→40.0
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End1.0
red by 12.6
100B
#31
18.34.9
18.3→13.4
Auto2.7
Teleop17.9
End-2.3
Third
4904
#37
18.33.2
24.2→21.0
Auto5.7
Teleop11.9
End0.8
red by 2.8
199
#42
15.41.2
27.7→26.5
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsMissed