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Red63
264324.8
804837.1
47655.3
Blue109
84125.9
724516.4
58167.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8310220406012014016018063109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#12
37.11.1
43.242.1
Auto7.1
Teleop27.7
End2.3
blue by 30.0
581
#1
67.10.2
62.863.0
Auto11.6
Teleop56.6
End-1.3
Second
2643
#14
24.81.1
21.120.0
Auto4.1
Teleop19.6
End1.3
blue by 1.1
841
#33
25.90.2
25.125.3
Auto3.2
Teleop21.1
End1.9
Third
4765
#41
5.31.4
15.514.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop4.9
End1.5
blue by 11.1
7245
#29
16.40.2
18.218.5
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsMissed74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned