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Qual 552023 CalGames
Red100
490418.3
84031.4
170039.2
Blue107
603661.1
418620.0
107234.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7186050100150200250100107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#11
39.21.2
35.8→37.0
Auto6.0
Teleop33.3
End0.2
blue by 21.9
6036
#10
61.10.5
58.5→58.0
Auto11.9
Teleop48.1
End-1.2
Second
840
#17
31.41.2
28.4→29.6
Auto6.0
Teleop25.6
End-0.1
blue by 2.6
1072
#21
34.00.5
31.9→31.5
Auto7.2
Teleop25.4
End1.5
Third
4904
#37
18.31.2
18.3→19.5
Auto5.7
Teleop11.9
End0.8
blue by 1.8
4186
#30
20.00.5
18.9→18.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
14%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned