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Red92
186853.1
25314.6
54306.9
Blue95
502637.9
325625.2
803342.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions519401502009295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.7
50.551.2
Auto13.3
Teleop40.3
End-1.4
red by 10.9
8033
#13
42.30.9
39.438.4
Auto8.4
Teleop34.1
End-0.9
Second
253
#39
14.60.7
13.914.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.5
End-0.0
blue by 23.3
5026
#22
37.90.9
38.337.3
Auto9.6
Teleop26.5
End1.6
Third
5430
#40
6.90.7
7.07.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 18.3
3256
#15
25.20.9
31.430.4
Auto6.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed53%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned