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Red112
84125.9
76640.0
777719.3
Blue38
502715.6
247322.6
85220.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5944010015011238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#16
40.03.0
35.038.0
Auto6.4
Teleop33.4
End0.1
red by 17.4
2473
#32
22.61.5
20.919.3
Auto4.7
Teleop17.4
End0.5
Second
841
#33
25.93.0
15.919.0
Auto3.2
Teleop21.1
End1.9
red by 5.1
852
#36
20.91.5
22.521.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End2.4
Third
7777
#24DQ
19.33.0
15.518.5
Auto1.9
Teleop15.6
End2.1
red by 3.7
5027
#20
15.61.5
17.616.1
Auto2.3
Teleop12.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed