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Red115
603661.1
914326.3
940017.0
Blue105
840430.9
84651.6
499026.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7378050100150200250300350115105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#10
61.10.2
58.058.2
Auto11.9
Teleop48.1
End-1.2
red by 9.5
846
#9
51.60.5
44.144.6
Auto7.9
Teleop45.6
End-2.6
Second
9143
#18
26.30.2
26.326.5
Auto8.3
Teleop16.1
End2.3
blue by 4.7
8404
#28
30.90.5
31.031.5
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End1.0
Third
9400
#19
17.00.3
17.317.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop19.3
End-1.7
blue by 9.1
4990
#26
26.10.5
22.923.4
Auto3.4
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned