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Red124
842.7
490418.3
186853.1
Blue113
914326.3
11540.1
696233.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10272050150200124113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.1
53.153.2
Auto13.3
Teleop40.3
End-1.4
red by 13.1
115
#7
40.10.3
39.840.1
Auto5.4
Teleop35.9
End-1.3
Second
8
#2
42.70.1
42.742.8
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End1.8
red by 9.2
33.50.3
33.233.5
Auto4.4
Teleop27.5
End1.5
Third
4904
#37
18.30.1
18.218.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.9
End0.8
blue by 8.0
9143
#18
26.30.3
25.926.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.1
End2.3