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Red171
603661.1
418620.0
58167.1
Blue121
248932.3
541930.0
170039.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11376050100150171121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#1
67.10.7
64.465.1
Auto11.6
Teleop56.6
End-1.3
red by 27.9
1700
#11
39.20.4
38.939.3
Auto6.0
Teleop33.3
End0.2
Second
6036
#10
61.10.7
58.359.0
Auto11.9
Teleop48.1
End-1.2
red by 28.7
32.30.4
32.032.4
Auto3.9
Teleop27.6
End1.0
Third
4186
#30
20.00.7
17.318.0
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End0.2
blue by 10.0
5419
#38
30.00.4
29.730.1
Auto4.2
Teleop28.7
End-1.8