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Red111
84031.4
804837.1
107234.0
Blue112
803342.3
84651.6
84125.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808950100150200111112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#12
37.10.2
37.037.2
Auto7.1
Teleop27.7
End2.3
blue by 14.4
846
#9
51.60.0
48.948.9
Auto7.9
Teleop45.6
End-2.6
Second
1072
#21
34.00.2
33.934.1
Auto7.2
Teleop25.4
End1.5
blue by 8.2
8033
#13
42.30.0
39.639.6
Auto8.4
Teleop34.1
End-0.9
Third
840
#17
31.40.2
31.331.5
Auto6.0
Teleop25.6
End-0.1
red by 5.5
841
#33
25.90.0
23.223.2
Auto3.2
Teleop21.1
End1.9