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Qual 112023 Sacramento Regional
Red109
318921.0
502640.7
70116.6
Blue98
766726.5
166225.5
107235.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6078204010012014010998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#5
40.72.2
32.6→34.9
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End7.8
red by 5.3
1072
#11
35.51.5
30.5→32.0
Auto11.6
Teleop15.3
End8.5
Second
3189
#20
21.02.2
12.0→14.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End5.0
blue by 5.6
7667
#15
26.52.5
19.3→21.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.7
End3.0
Third
701
#29
16.62.2
13.8→16.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End4.9
blue by 8.9
1662
#38
25.52.5
21.1→23.6
Auto9.9
Teleop7.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned