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Red139
572821.4
879337.3
25470.2
Blue63
768614.9
545825.8
350121.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10248015013963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
70.25.0
42.447.5
Auto17.7
Teleop42.1
End10.0
red by 44.4
5458
#25
25.80.4
21.120.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.6
End8.0
Second
8793
#10
37.33.4
27.831.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.5
red by 15.5
3501
#16
21.80.3
16.115.8
Auto7.8
Teleop4.1
End9.9
Third
5728
#26
21.45.0
18.523.5
Auto7.8
Teleop6.8
End6.9
red by 6.5
7686
#46
14.90.4
14.914.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned