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Qual 322023 Sacramento Regional
Red61
203516.3
545825.8
248924.8
Blue79
661922.7
350121.8
255143.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589102040801001201406179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#25
25.80.3
22.6→22.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.6
End8.0
blue by 17.9
2551
#4
43.70.2
41.0→40.8
Auto10.6
Teleop25.7
End7.4
Second
2489
#9
24.80.3
22.7→23.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End7.9
red by 2.1
6619
#28
22.70.2
22.0→21.8
Auto8.2
Teleop10.7
End3.8
Third
2035
#33
16.30.3
13.3→13.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
blue by 5.6
3501
#16
21.80.2
18.5→18.3
Auto7.8
Teleop4.1
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned