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Red103
25470.2
911413.8
698114.8
Blue63
70116.6
228827.8
348218.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8460204010012014010363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
70.23.0
53.356.3
Auto17.7
Teleop42.1
End10.0
red by 42.5
2288
#13
27.80.2
24.224.4
Auto6.6
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Second
6981
#30
14.83.0
9.012.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End6.7
blue by 3.6
3482
#44
18.40.4
18.418.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Third
9114
#35
13.81.8
13.315.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End4.2
blue by 2.8
701
#29
16.60.2
17.017.3
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed