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Red84
713730.1
220425.3
570028.5
Blue154
255143.7
541947.1
502640.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741385010015020084154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7137
#14
30.10.5
28.128.6
Auto9.6
Teleop13.2
End7.3
blue by 17.0
47.11.5
45.046.5
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End8.2
Second
5700
#27
28.50.5
25.025.4
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End5.6
blue by 15.2
43.71.5
40.842.4
Auto10.6
Teleop25.7
End7.4
Third
2204
#21
25.30.8
24.124.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End6.2
blue by 15.5
40.71.5
35.236.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned