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Red107
318921.0
809116.7
545825.8
Blue82
876831.9
25323.4
348218.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5765020408010012014016010782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#25
25.82.5
22.925.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.6
End8.0
blue by 6.0
8768
#17
31.91.5
25.126.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End8.5
Second
3189
#20
21.01.5
16.017.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End5.0
blue by 2.4
253
#41
23.42.5
15.918.4
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End6.1
Third
8091
#34
16.72.5
15.818.3
Auto1.8
Teleop9.3
End5.6
blue by 1.7
3482
#44
18.42.5
18.821.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed